Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 7.469766 8.355896 9.396168 10.733778 12.450132 14.644444 17.786303
2024-12-22 6.269739 7.307681 8.627016 10.500729 13.239475 17.399678 25.043569
2024-12-29 5.738739 6.943163 8.593345 11.187708 15.586600 23.990437 47.745776
2025-01-05 5.250235 6.541768 8.422894 11.657004 18.003474 33.933973 136.438643
2025-01-12 4.684866 5.942594 7.845657 11.316638 18.891713 43.095564 1305.399266
2025-01-19 4.191653 5.382291 7.232188 10.753447 19.099365 52.451677 NaN
2025-01-26 4.065210 5.354545 7.474116 11.915500 24.861865 143.454293 NaN
2025-02-02 4.100387 5.585196 8.221819 14.602105 42.009923 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 3.980986 5.544187 8.470644 16.365814 66.763796 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.823438 5.414797 8.518686 17.691639 110.825260 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.650826 5.235795 8.425884 18.582010 200.672414 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.412184 4.909681 7.948877 17.824336 237.297126 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.273079 4.785392 7.982946 19.530448 14225.306581 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.004653 4.388924 7.308820 17.786786 4374.295942 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.868858 4.234471 7.194456 18.642328 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.730000 4.059605 6.998857 19.033987 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.552336 3.792759 6.529764 17.675275 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.383696 3.532387 6.048465 16.076888 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.341884 3.519273 6.196553 18.149134 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.359895 3.628648 6.702255 23.769961 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.318775 3.610740 6.855053 27.633875 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.261006 3.551134 6.872435 30.597064 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.194739 3.466752 6.796642 32.538949 NaN NaN NaN